A closer look at Labour’s costings for their policy to remove GST from fruit and vegetables reveals a schoolboy error equating to quarter-of-a-billion-dollar hole, National’s Finance spokesperson Nicola Willis says.
“Most people can see this policy for what it is – desperate politics from a tired government. But in this desperate, last-ditch attempt to keep their jobs, Labour has mucked up the costings to the tune of around $250 million over the next two years.
“Labour say their policy to remove GST from fruit and vegetables would take effect on 1 April 2024, but this is not reflected in their costing of this policy.
“Labour has failed to account for the fiscal impact of removing GST in the 2023/24 fiscal year, and has only partially accounted for the cost of the policy in the 2024/25 fiscal year.
“If the policy is introduced when promised, there will be a three-month hit to the books in the 2023/24 fiscal year, which ends in June. This is not accounted for in Labour’s policy.
“Labour has also made a mistake in their costing for the 2024/25 fiscal year. The annual cost of the policy should be approximately $500 million as in later years, but Labour has only budgeted $365 million. This is not explained.
“The cumulative size of this error is likely to be around $250 million over the next two years.
“This cannot be explained away as a timing issue related to when GST is paid to IRD by businesses. Treasury are explicit in their advice: GST revenue is accounted for ‘when the purchase or sale of taxable goods and services occurs during the taxation period’.
“This is an amateurish mistake from a party who are trying to convince New Zealanders they can be trusted with the books.
“New Zealanders know it’s time for a National government that can be trusted with the books, will reduce taxes and rebuild the economy.”
GST Costing ($m)
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
2026/27
2027/28
Total
Labour Costing
$0
$365
$515
$540
$565
$1,985
Actual Cost
$116
$490
$515
$540
$565
$2,226
Estimated Error
$116
$125
$241